intervention is inevitable - weak states are dangerous

Submitted by Nazim Cairo (United Kingdom), Sep 7, 2013 at 21:14

I understand your point. It is however unlikely that Assad can ever win this war, and stalemate will ensue. But there is a calculation involved that a decade-long civil year war will be a breeding ground for Al-Qaeda jihadis that are threat to the West. The conflict will continue with different factions fighting each other, even if Assad goes, in fact it is certain. Al-Nusra front is most likely faction to win over, as it is most brutal and determined, and they will start building training camps all over Syria (ergo Taliban) and massacring Christians and Shias en masse. There will be another American or Israeli intervention later to quash this.

So by any calculation preventive intervention is inevitable, at least to save Christians (appealing to co-religionist compassion), just a question of when. And do not expect Sunni states to do it, they do not have a moral capacity to execute it.

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