Will the Islamic World be Shrinking? It seems to be true at least in the case of Egypt!

Submitted by dhimmi no more (United States), Oct 21, 2021 at 15:36

Dr. Pipes,

I came across this graph (while I was researching of all things the etymology of the word al-Fustat) , which I would like to share with you and the readers.

The "fertility rate" in Egypt is declining very fast. In 1950 it was 6.750 births per woman and now it stands at 3.211 in 2020 and expected (by the UN) to decline to 1.895 by the year 2100.

macrotrends.net/countries/EGY/egypt/fertility-rate

I suspect that it is an expected outcome of the rapid decline in illiteracy and the rapid expansion of the economy (Egypt now has 6 billionaires) and more women are working in well paid jobs as well as the decline of infant mortality rates in since 1950 when the rate was 250/1000 births and in 2020 it is down to 14.142 per 1000. Would this decline in fertility and more income per family lead to less emigration? Only time will tell.

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".