Turkey does not deter, not collegial

Submitted by myth (Germany), Sep 8, 2022 at 12:50

I prefer deterrence over armed conflict. Deterrence with Turkey in an alliance depends on wether or not your adversary is convinced that the alliance would fight for Turkey and vice versa. The attitude of every individual soldier determines the credibility of that detterence. I do not see or feel that attitude. Adversaries will be correct to expect inaction in the event of an attack on Turkey in the same way Russia was incorrect counting on Western inaction after the 2nd attack on Ukraine this year.

Turkey has not been a collegial ally in peace time. How can it be collegial in an armed conflict? In a war Turkish military, or at least its government, may go rogue and confuse NATO's command and compromise its actions.

Those arguments apply to the EU as well. Perhaps NATO must discipline the EU before it can discipline Turkey.

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