Harrak's scenario

Submitted by Vijay (United Kingdom), Jun 13, 2007 at 14:33

>Submitted by Harrak, Jun 12, 2007 at 09:56

>1- Precise attack by Iranians from Lebanon on the Dimona Nuclear reactor in Israel spreading radiation.

iran has outdated airforce and no intelligence from the sky. No capability for precision attack on Israel. It's neighbours are very suspicious of Iran

>2- One year consecutive non-interrupted 100 missiles raining on Israel from Hizbollah positions.

Hezbollah has about 20000 rockets. It will spend itself as a military force in such an attack doing no serious damage to israel

>3- Destruction of USA maintenance facilities in UAE, in S.Oman, Bahrein, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait leading to regime change mainly in Bahrain, Kuwait and UAE.

AS if the US will allow such a thing. All these countries are under the protection of the US and the US has enough defence capailities against Iran. Even if the US installations are seriously attacked, how will it benefit Iran militarily or strategically??

> 4- Closure of Hurmuz straits

That is a certainty with dramatic oil price rises; oil price may hit $200 per barrel sending economies on aspin

> 5- Appearance of New Islamic republics in the Gulf and end of Israeli statehood.

If only pigs have wings, they can fly.

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