69 million page views

I doubt it would work.

Reader comment on item: Might the Saudis Blow Up Their Oil Infrastructure?

Submitted by bernardz (Australia), May 12, 2005 at 15:44

Self destruct systems like this are very dubious in concept. In theory as long as you have life, you have hope. As once the Saudi use this weapon, they lose all.

If it's going to be tried, Alfred Kohler comments seem quite valid that such a self destructive deterrence would have to be publically known. Otherwise it's not going to deter anyone from attacking it.

Also I read these other comments on another site on Gerald Posner works

From Little Green Footballs site --->>>

http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/?entry=15814#c0077


#77 Kenneth 5/11/2005 01:13PM PDT
The alleged Saudi plot to booby-trap their oil industry with dirty bombs is an interesting theory, until you start to think about it. Here are a few reasons why it's nonsense.

Firstly, the threat is rather overblown. The isotopes cited all produce low energy beta radiation and are dangerous only if ingested or inhaled. Their presence might be hazardous and likely to cause panic in a city with a large population, but not at remote oil wells and pipeline installations, where the few workers required for service could easily be protected.

Secondly, the logistics don't make sense. Assume a small oil installation of 1 square kilometer. 1 tonne of material dispersed over that area would result in a concentration of only 10 micrograms per square centimeter, barely greater than background radiation levels. The entire Saudi oil infrastructure would require hundreds of thousands of tonnes of these isotopes. Is there any evidence such quantities have been obtained by the Saudis? I don't think so. In any event, the contamination would not stay in place due to wind errosion (it's a sandy desert out there!) I would be more worried about a getting a sun burn, than the effect of 10 micrograms of Sr 90 on my shoes.

Finally, petroleum is not chemically reactive to Sr, Cs or Rb. If the materials were introduced to the oil reservoirs, the isotopes could easily be removed during the normal refining processes. In fact, Sr & Cs both bind readily with sand, which is a rather effective filtering material especially plentiful in Arabia. On the other hand, Rb ignites in air and reacts violently with water, making it easily retrievable.

In short, the risk of such "dirty bombs" is minimal, the amount of material required is unrealistic, & the contamination will just blow away. Which is, I believe, what the author is trying to do: huff & puff and blow away at a junk-science political thriller.
Submitting....

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

Submit a comment on this item

<< Previous Comment      Next Comment >>

Reader comments (31) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
1Dual Purpose of Explosives [42 words]Dr. SleeOct 22, 2005 12:4927207
US Treasury market [30 words]michael cMay 18, 2005 20:3122163
House of Saud [95 words]JoeMay 18, 2005 13:1722145
1Haven't they learned anything? [195 words]PatMay 17, 2005 19:0922129
1Saudi empty threat [169 words]Marcos BerensteinMay 16, 2005 19:5622119
Blow up Oil infrastructure? [98 words]Jacques BakkeMay 16, 2005 02:4622116
Worth considering... [17 words]CutlerMay 15, 2005 23:0722113
I Always Assumed They Had A Self-Destruct [30 words]ConstanceMay 15, 2005 16:1922111
Past due [224 words]philiplisagorMay 13, 2005 18:1222103
Usually a Big Fan - Disappointed this Time [291 words]AdamMay 13, 2005 16:4922102
Small quantities protocol [88 words]Marc JorisMay 13, 2005 16:3422100
Too much of Oil can be a bad thing [132 words]Yldaed SurivMay 13, 2005 12:4922098
Irrelevant [106 words]Paul ZMay 13, 2005 10:5822097
Poor Mr. Ahmed [96 words]Octavio JohansonMay 13, 2005 09:5322096
Completely Preposterous [114 words]Ronald MonsenMay 13, 2005 09:1922095
If they did do it, they must have thought about it hard [73 words]Alain Jean-MairetMay 13, 2005 00:5322093
Absurdity [63 words]Stan SuchockiMay 13, 2005 00:1222092
New energy project [175 words]Fodor, G.E.May 12, 2005 22:2522091
A doomsday switch is a stupid idea [88 words]LTECMay 12, 2005 21:5822090
Not an Effective Deterent? [19 words]ElliotMay 12, 2005 16:3922089
I doubt it would work. [403 words]bernardzMay 12, 2005 15:4422087
2The Desert Fantasy [596 words]Alo KievalarMay 12, 2005 15:3322086
Chilling thought. Now, what's the bottom line? [103 words]J. GoldbergMay 12, 2005 11:0122084
SAUDI OIL [82 words]Asim AhmedMay 12, 2005 08:5922083
The evil that you know [87 words]Octavio JohansonMay 12, 2005 08:2822082
Button, Button, Who's Got The Big Red Button? [400 words]YonasonMay 12, 2005 03:1922080
Dr. Strangelove in a kaffiyeh [365 words]Kenneth S. BesigMay 12, 2005 02:1122078
Saudi self-destruct: silver lining [98 words]Gary GoldmanMay 11, 2005 20:4222073
re: Might the Saudis Blow Up Their Oil Infrastructure? [99 words]Garrett HildebrandMay 11, 2005 20:0422072
An aside... [55 words]Mark FabyMay 11, 2005 19:4122071
A secret deterrence system would be useless [76 words]Alfred KohlerMay 11, 2005 18:1422070

Follow Daniel Pipes

Facebook   Twitter   RSS   Join Mailing List

All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2024 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes

Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes

(The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code.

Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998.

For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.)