What an Iraqi civil war will accomplish

Submitted by rick (United States), Feb 28, 2006 at 15:59

It will cause the breakup into 3 ( or possibly 2) separate entities - a Kurdish, a Shia and a Sunni. The first two will have vast oil reserves and a future because of that oil. The third- the Sunni one - will have no oil and be relegated to (a) joining into some kind of federation with Jordan, (b) living as a very poor cousin or (c) waging a war to defeat either the Shi'ites and/or the Kurds and "take back" the oil which was never theirs to begin with.

So in a strange way, a Baathist insurgency in its attempt to destroy the "new" Iraq in which power and wealth will no longer be massed in Sunni political control will result in an even weaker and poorer Sunni population who won't even share in the oil wealth from Kurdish and Shi'ite areas. The Suniis will be left with nothing except their hate. This Baathist lead war on principally the Shiite population must either succeed completely - which it cannot - or it must fail completely - which is more the case.

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