We who argue for Israel Victory watched with dismay as Qatar's government threatens Israel with ending its financial donations to Gaza, insinuating that Hamas will resume its incendiary balloon attacks. Where, we wonder, are those extraordinary armed forces that defeated three states in six days, pulled off the Entebbe raid, and heisted Iran's nuclear archive?
 All smiles when Hamas leader Ismail Haniya (L) met Qatar's Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani in Doha in December 2019. And Israel's security establishment is fine with this. |
Israel's security establishment, it turns out, has a Doppelgänger, an uncelebrated, defensive, reticent counterpart that emerged after the 1993 Oslo accords to deal with West Bank and Gaza Palestinians, the one that needed 50 days to end a minor military operation in 2014 and cannot stop burning balloons coming out of Gaza. The classic IDF seeks to win but the Palestinian one just wants calm.
What accounts for its timidity? Here are six factors:
Israeli governments consist of multi-partner coalitions which tend, in Jonathan Spyer's description, "to avoid focus on long term strategic issues, in preference for addressing immediate threats." Why deal with a problem like Gaza when you can kick it down the road?
Similarly, Israel's security services take pride in dealing with the here-and-now, not the misty future. In the apocryphal order of an Israeli officer to his troops, "Secure the area until the end of your shift." Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin's wife Leah once explained his mentality: "He was very pragmatic, hated to deal with something that would happen years down the road. He only thought of what would happen now, in the very near future." Similarly, Einat Wilf explains, the IDF encourages Qatari funds going to Gaza because it thinks that this buys it calm: "It will do anything possible to ensure that the funds keep flowing, even if that means that the calm is purchased at the cost of a war that will go on for decades."
Just as police see criminals as incorrigible troublemakers, so wizened Israeli security chiefs view Palestinians as irredeemable adversaries and reject the idea that these adversaries can learn a lesson; can lions reform hyenas? Security types oppose a tough approach because they want to avoid troubles. This outlook may make them sound like leftists, but they are not; long and bitter experience, not misty idealism, explains their reticence.
 Eternal enemies: hyenas and lions. |
Israeli security services do not want again to rule directly over the West Bank or Gaza; fearing a collapse of the Palestinian Authority (PA) or Hamas, they treat these deferentially. They see the PA under Mahmoud Abbas, for all its deficiencies, as a useful security partner. True, it incites murder domestically and delegitimizes the State of Israel internationally, but better to endure these aggressions than to punish Abbas, induce his downfall, and re-live the nightmare of walking the streets of Nablus. So, he gets away with literal murder.
A combination of Palestinian military weakness and intense international scrutiny has caused Israel's security establishment to see Palestinians more like criminals than soldiers; dealing with them has morphed the IDF into a police force, with a defensive mentality viewing stability as a goal in itself. Generals do not enter battle with the goal of saving the lives of their soldiers; but police chiefs want the struggle with criminals to break no laws and leave no one harmed. Generals seek victory, police chiefs seek quiet.
Finally, an exaggerated sense of morality interferes with effective action. In 2018, IDF chief of staff Gadi Eizenkot justified passivity vis-à-vis the balloon arsonists for the eye-popping reason that "dropping a bomb on people flying balloons and kites" runs counter to his "operative and moral position."
 The trio of former chiefs-of-staffs who formed the Blue and White party. |
Resolution of the Palestinian problem requires an end to the split in Israel's defense establishment and the return to a unitary force dedicated to winning, to convincing the Palestinians that the conflict is over, they lost, and they should abandon their war goals.
Mr. Pipes (DanielPipes.org, @DanielPipes) is president of the Middle East Forum and founder of the Israel Victory Project. © 2020 by Daniel Pipes. All rights reserved.
July 1, 2020 update: Hillel Frisch adds another factor: "Much of the IDF brass and former brass pine for the tried and true."
