The Iran treaty may have done Israel's work for them

Submitted by MIchael S (United States), Nov 13, 2015 at 08:22

Hi, Anon

I just noticed your reply here in surfing. You said,

"The deal should have perhaps included a clause that asks Iran to withdraw its support for any proxies against Israel that it funds."

Everything I've read lately indicates that Iran has shown no sign of ever intending to withdraw support for anti-Israel terrorists in Lebanon and elsewhere. The deadly ISIS exploxion in Beirut yesterday, however, is probably a good indicator of how the Hizbullah problem will be dealt with in the future: What the negotiators failed to do to reign in the Hizzies, Islamic State wii do for them.

I don't by any means want to encourage ISIS in its retrogressive religion and mindless brutality; but one might consider me as "rooting" for them, in that I think they have a promising outlook in the Islamic world for some time to come. The easiest way to present this case, is to compare Syria 2015 with Vietnam 1965:

Syria 2015:

• Russia, a foreign power supporting a dictator from a religious minority who has very little local support
• ISIS, representing a doctrine that is increasingly popular among the poor, young and uneducated, led by a cadre of Western-educated idealogues

Vietnam 1965:

• the US, a foreign power supporting a dictator from a religious minority who has very little local support
• the Viet Cong, representing a doctrine that is increasingly popular among the poor, young and uneducated, led by a cadre of Western-educated idealogues

Do I need to get any deeper than that? ISIS' doctrine doesn't make much intellectual sense. Neither did the Viet Cong doctrine; BUT: ISIS is supported by the majority Sunni community, just as the VC were supported by the majority non-Catholic, nominal Buddhist community in Vietnam. Both insurgent groups are accruing success through assymetric warfare, with the "David vs Goliath" approach that catches the imagination of the peasants. The essence of this type of warfare, is that time is always on the side of the insurgents, and always works against the outsiders; and in this case, Russia, Iran and Hizbullah are outsiders.

If it weren't for the Iran-G5+1 deal, Russia might not have come charging into the area, in the style of the 1960s Americans in Southeast Asia. Israel's main task now, apparently, is to gather together the Temple musicians to praise God at the northern border, and watch their enemies destroy one another.

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