U R Right, Moshe

Submitted by LDC (United States), Aug 2, 2006 at 16:11

Either one of two things is going to happen, I believe: Either...

(1) The UN will debate over Iran's nuclear program, full-well knowing that it's not primarily for peacefull purposes (like they don't have enough oil for energy), and eventually Iran will announce they have the bomb, perhaps by testing one with the help of N. Korea and/or Pakistan, and the West will wonder hard if Mutually Assured Distruction (MAD) will keep the world safe (so to speak) again for another 50 years (a bet I would not recommend making), or...

(2) When (1) emerges as the likely path, the US will decide that a world with a nuclear-armed Iran is not worth the risk, and take military action as our role in Iraq winds down. (It's not long before they will be in total charge of their own internal strife.) The world would howl, and wisper a "thanks" under its breath. The Soviets were ruthless, but they were not crazy. The sanity, though, of the government of Iran cannot be trusted.

I'd recommend "shooting the dog" (soon) first mostly to send a message to the mullahs in Iran that we will not tolerate Iran intimidating the West with bombs, on the outside chance that there may be this mythological moderate element in Iran wanting to take control. (I am very skeptical of that, but know little about it.) We'll have to shoot the dog sooner or later, anyway.

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