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Not likelyReader comment on item: Thoughts on the Syrian Downing of a Turkish Warplane Submitted by Oz D (Australia), Jun 26, 2012 at 22:27 Assad is a butcher, certainly, and he is a keystone in the Iran-Syria-Hezbollah axis. But as bad as that is, there's worse. How about a war between Turkey and Syria that winds up incorporating Syria into Turkey, followed by Lebanon. Then we'll be looking at a huge Islamist state on Israel's northern border, with Hamas-Egypt to the south. And how long will it take before Jordan falls in line? Still want Assad out? Some logical points made but ... Assad is really a cornered animal and no more than a satellite of Iran/Hezbollah with the support of Russia therefore a dangerous one..You can expand on the "axis" with Iraqi Nouri Al-Maliki (also heavily influenced by Tehran) as being a de-facto part as he also supports Assad and you have a far bigger picture than just the "butcher" Assad.. The best case scenario for Israel is the breakdown of the Axis and let the arab spring take it's course with the downfall of the Assad regime.. Talking about incorporating Syria and lebanon is just plain childish - almost as much as erdogans rhetoric... Also as much as Erdogan is foolishly outspoken in his views on Israel it would remain just that - his personal views ..Trade is increasing between the two and as one article stated it's hard to fight with your hand in each other's pockets... Likewise the Egyptians have only their economy to concentrate on, and hard to see the people would be interested on anything else in the foreseeable future..The islamist leader chosen certainly has his hands full meeting the expectations of his people ( now that they have voice) and with the army still having a large say in running the show.. I can see a win win in Assad's downfall for all concerned.. Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments". Reader comments (80) on this item
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All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2024 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes (The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code. Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998. For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.) |