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all other things being equal
Reader comment on item: Predicting a Majority-Muslim Russia
in response to reader comment: The Myth of Muslim Population Growth in Russia
Submitted by Doug (United States), Jan 1, 2013 at 16:09
All projections depend on two usually false assumptions; "all other things being equal" and the never are and "if current trends continue" and they never do. In Cecil Rhodes' time, the number of Englishmen living in China was growing faster than the number of Chinese. From this he concluded that Anglo-Saxons would eventually outnumber Chinese in China. Currently fertility is declining in the Moslem world. It is already below replacement level in Iran, Tunisia and Turkey. Should we assume that fertility will continue to decline until it reaches 0?
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Reader comments (97) on this item
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Title | Commenter | Date | Thread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Why Islamic Influences in Russia Matter in the Middle East [157 words] | M Tovey | Jan 2, 2022 15:02 | 277948 | ||
| Good news: Central Asian Muslims tend to be moderate [189 words] | Dave | Jan 1, 2022 14:22 | 277928 | ||
| Regarding Muslim Russia: Let us judging Islam with secular standards [359 words] | Prashant | Oct 10, 2019 06:00 | 255317 | ||
| President Trump's Adversaries, including Establishment Conservative Republicans, Should be "Eating Crow" [73 words] | Ludvikus | Dec 20, 2017 12:51 | 241629 | ||
| 6 | Part of the problem is with the non-Muslims [731 words] | Prashant | Dec 31, 2016 02:43 | 234996 | |
| Maybe Putin thinks an undemocratic Russia can always keep Muslims in check [29 words] | Anon | Dec 13, 2015 23:11 | 227045 | ||
| 2 | Putin Has Moral Values Of A Terrorist Tyrant [113 words] | Lujack Skylark | Sep 18, 2014 05:03 | 218003 | |
| 3 | COMPLACENCY & FOOLISHLY ARROGANT SCHOLARS DESTROY CHRISTIANITY [200 words] | Nur el Masih ben Haq | Sep 16, 2014 14:01 | 217941 | |
 It is Written - Search the Scriptures - Obedience to the WORD is Required [591 words] | M. Tovey | Sep 19, 2014 17:56 | 217941 | ||
| 1 | The New Testament speaks against the "Trinity" doctrine [746 words] | Michael S. | Sep 22, 2014 19:57 | 217941 | |
| New Testament Speaks to the Authentication of the Old Testament [217 words] | M. Tovey | Sep 23, 2014 15:40 | 217941 | ||
| Dear Mr. Tovey [107 words] | Debanjan Banerjee | Oct 4, 2014 00:16 | 217941 | ||
| Homosexuality in the church [776 words] | Michael S | Feb 6, 2015 10:10 | 217941 | ||
| I am sorry [114 words] | Debanjan | Aug 5, 2015 04:27 | 217941 | ||
| 1 | Allah, the ayatollahs, gays and al-Qada' wa al-qadr (pre-destination) [389 words] | dhimmi no more | Aug 7, 2015 06:49 | 217941 | |
| God bless Israel. The US and Russia are on their own. [327 words] | Michael S | Aug 7, 2015 16:39 | 217941 | ||
| Smirnov has hit upon something [314 words] w/response from Daniel Pipes | Michael S. | Sep 14, 2014 21:19 | 217884 | ||
| Religion is not politics. [178 words] | Michael S. | Sep 19, 2014 02:47 | 217884 | ||
| Russia Working With Muslims Whom Will Turn On Them [78 words] | Lujack Skylark | Mar 19, 2014 11:40 | 213882 | ||
| 1 | The Haunting [63 words] | Tom Dundee | Oct 26, 2013 19:22 | 210988 | |
| 2 | Persecution: the way of life [38 words] | Michael S. | Sep 24, 2014 03:11 | 210988 | |
| 3 | Sounds familiar [50 words] | Jeff | Oct 14, 2013 13:05 | 210447 | |
| 4 | Do anti-Muslim sentiments in Russia really count? [68 words] | Meyse Kapeyr | Oct 13, 2013 16:36 | 210431 | |
| 2 | Islamization [19 words] | steven l | Oct 21, 2013 18:19 | 210431 | |
| You're An Excellent Reporter on Middle-East Affairs [174 words] w/response from Daniel Pipes | Tom Skylark | Oct 9, 2013 11:43 | 210353 | ||
| Really saddens me [31 words] | Diana Wells | Aug 4, 2012 11:09 | 197663 | ||
| 3 | the demographic transformation [158 words] | Manav | Aug 27, 2012 04:38 | 197663 | |
| 21 | The Myth of Muslim Population Growth in Russia [1208 words] | baba | Mar 7, 2012 13:56 | 194098 | |
 all other things being equal [89 words] | Doug | Jan 1, 2013 16:09 | 194098 | ||
| Terrorism and Al-Qaeda obey to Al-Qur'an instructed. [104 words] | Sunarty | Aug 21, 2013 00:02 | 194098 | ||
| Interesting comments [198 words] | Kepha Hor | Nov 3, 2013 19:38 | 194098 | ||
| What are white ethnic groups? [36 words] | Edo | May 27, 2018 20:24 | 194098 | ||
| 9 | So what's wrong with Muslims being a majority? [136 words] | Taha | Oct 26, 2011 19:28 | 190429 | |
| 3 | What is wrong in Islamic majority in Russia? [53 words] | Josh | Oct 27, 2011 02:56 | 190429 | |
| 4 | What is wrong in Islamic majority in Russia? [116 words] | Arnes | Dec 11, 2011 14:38 | 190429 | |
| 4 | Muslims are violent against people like me. This is why I have a problem with Muslims. [56 words] | Greg | Sep 11, 2012 02:19 | 190429 | |
| What we can learn from survivors [15 words] | Januk36 | Oct 17, 2013 07:29 | 190429 | ||
| 1 | Clear view from Finnish muslim "convert" [186 words] | kaitsu80 | Oct 17, 2011 11:17 | 190100 | |
| 6 | Let us unite. [105 words] | Nazneen O. Saherwala | Jul 13, 2010 09:27 | 175512 | |
| 2 | RE: The "Nashi" youth movement in Russia. [246 words] | Mysil Bergsprekken | Feb 4, 2010 22:53 | 168480 | |
| 3 | DUTCHMAN WITHOUT FEAR OR FAVOUR [295 words] | Michelle5publish. | Aug 12, 2009 14:18 | 160113 | |
| 1 | Islam [55 words] | Dan the Man | Jul 3, 2009 12:38 | 158444 | |
| 1 | Maybe I missed it, but... [187 words] | Fay Voshell | Feb 16, 2009 12:26 | 150583 | |
| 2 | Not to get spiritual - but Ezekiel 38 cleary depicts an Islamic invasion of Israel - led by Russia [149 words] | RobW | Feb 12, 2009 15:03 | 150325 | |
| Russian Muslim Army in Ezekiel 38:2-6 [47 words] | Lujack Skylark | Oct 8, 2013 14:39 | 150325 | ||
| 9 | Why fear islam ? Islam will unify & liberate Russia [134 words] | Yunus Zamakda | Jan 27, 2009 06:12 | 149212 | |
| history? [68 words] | ButtonGreen | Jul 8, 2009 18:34 | 149212 | ||
| 8 | The real islamic history [298 words] | Yunus Zamakda | Jul 15, 2009 06:11 | 149212 | |
| 4 | History [132 words] | Yunus Zamakda | Sep 15, 2009 07:59 | 149212 | |
| 5 | answer to mr. button green [383 words] | ismael abdul aziz | Oct 25, 2009 04:31 | 149212 | |
| 2 | GREAT DECEPTION [70 words] | Alex | Dec 12, 2009 00:14 | 149212 | |
| 6 | Alex lets learn to love each other & to live in peace. [191 words] | Yunus Zamakda | Dec 12, 2009 10:58 | 149212 | |
| Slavery in Islam. [38 words] | Nalini | Oct 9, 2013 03:55 | 149212 | ||
| Consistency of the message [232 words] | Sudeep Pathak | Jan 22, 2009 05:05 | 148734 | ||
| 4 | Islam [118 words] | Mansoor | Jan 24, 2009 04:47 | 148734 | |
| With Allah's help this religion will spread like wild fire...Hummmmm...Jungle Jehad in Australia [44 words] | Babusha | Feb 11, 2009 13:29 | 148734 | ||
| It is a fight for the turf. [359 words] | Sudeep Pathak | Feb 15, 2009 18:30 | 148734 | ||
| 1 | Islam in Russia [110 words] w/response from Daniel Pipes | Debanjan Banerjee | Dec 25, 2008 13:46 | 145862 | |
| 1 | I like russia with muslim majirity [20 words] | idris adam | Dec 10, 2008 08:34 | 144797 | |
| 2 | What ...? [81 words] | Telldatruth | Dec 12, 2009 00:24 | 144797 | |
| 1 | watch up [110 words] | bas | Dec 22, 2009 12:25 | 144797 | |
| you are wrong [99 words] | idris adam | May 15, 2011 06:58 | 144797 | ||
| Idris Adam from Nigeria needs to be corrected [136 words] | Prashant | May 17, 2011 11:33 | 144797 | ||
| 2 | Did Muslim forced Islam on anyone? [138 words] | Sayed | Mar 16, 2012 15:54 | 144797 | |
| Re: Islamic Conversion [137 words] | Tihor | Nov 30, 2012 03:46 | 144797 | ||
| 2 | What is there to worry about [121 words] | Riz | Aug 17, 2008 01:02 | 136870 | |
| 2 | Truth Religion [38 words] | mahadi | May 1, 2008 10:27 | 127348 | |
| not religion of peace [53 words] | Tdub | Jun 23, 2008 03:53 | 127348 | ||
| 3 | Don't be fair Islam will bring Peace and prosperity in Russia [60 words] | Mohd. Rizwan Khan | Jan 26, 2008 13:43 | 119033 | |
| 2 | Oh, really? [98 words] | sd1 | Mar 31, 2008 13:48 | 119033 | |
| arrogant [14 words] | D. Lennon | Aug 9, 2008 20:33 | 119033 | ||
| What? [65 words] | Alex | Dec 12, 2009 00:32 | 119033 | ||
| Islam's time has past. [87 words] | Rick | Oct 11, 2010 11:15 | 119033 | ||
| 2 | Islam is Truth [95 words] | Nazneen O. Saherwala | Apr 2, 2013 09:24 | 119033 | |
| Wahhabite Russia [45 words] | Nobody | Jan 23, 2008 13:57 | 118830 | ||
| With a little help from the US and Europe [50 words] | Aly aus Aegypten | Jan 1, 2008 22:31 | 117308 | ||
| "How the West Could Lose" [130 words] | William J. Abbott | Dec 26, 2006 10:50 | 70598 | ||
| 1 | allah is great [25 words] | muhammad irfan syed | Apr 25, 2006 13:44 | 44119 | |
| 1 | Numbers don't add up [19 words] | Sadat | Aug 26, 2006 21:12 | 44119 | |
| Not [64 words] | Kat | Apr 25, 2007 03:28 | 44119 | ||
| He he [68 words] | Kat | Apr 25, 2007 03:31 | 44119 | ||
| 2 | Islam is not a religion which says about peace. [119 words] | Mohammend Yasir | Dec 3, 2009 07:44 | 44119 | |
| Reply to G. Bisvas [78 words] | Mark | Mar 17, 2006 21:52 | 40563 | ||
| 1 | rate and direction of change are important [305 words] | G.Bisvas | Mar 21, 2006 06:10 | 40563 | |
| someone should have stopped him. [181 words] | Kat | Apr 25, 2007 03:39 | 40563 | ||
| Disappointing Russia [146 words] | Mark | Mar 17, 2006 13:30 | 40561 | ||
| what's important: the truth [354 words] | mike | Nov 1, 2006 08:04 | 40561 | ||
| 1 | Hinduism and reply to Mike [40 words] | Sam Jay | Dec 10, 2006 13:30 | 40561 | |
| islam and russia [36 words] | kumar | Mar 4, 2007 12:49 | 40561 | ||
| conversion,,again ? [83 words] | Kat | Apr 25, 2007 03:51 | 40561 | ||
| 1 | reply to Jay walker [58 words] | kimba | May 4, 2007 05:31 | 40561 | |
| 5 | LOL - bunch of scared non-muslims.... [184 words] | Abdul-Rehman Khan | Apr 18, 2008 12:14 | 40561 | |
| Hinduism and reply to Sam [58 words] | Kshama | Jan 22, 2009 11:51 | 40561 | ||
| 1 | Not going anywhere [25 words] | Straight_Talk_Luigi | Feb 7, 2009 16:56 | 40561 | |
| 1 | Stahn in Sanskrit and stan in persian [32 words] | dancan | Mar 7, 2009 09:47 | 40561 | |
| Russian Protestants undercounted [60 words] | ElamBend | Mar 17, 2006 13:19 | 40559 | ||
| Maybe the Russian Evangelicals will face a better future at home [65 words] | Kepha Hor | Nov 3, 2013 19:41 | 40559 |
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