Does Turkiye Fear Sweden and Findland for Becoming NATO More than Russia? Or is Turkish Membership the Real Liability?

Submitted by M Tovey (United States), May 19, 2022 at 10:34

Everyone knows, or at least suspects that Turkish membership in NATO is suspect at best, being a leftover action taken at a time when the Islamic sensibilities of a pre-Erdoğan were sublimated in an era where Soviet influences were as unreliable as they could have been and MiG air power superiority had been demonstrated as less than capable against NATO power. Those times are a thing of the past; that while the IAF has been able to press a certain air defensive posture, even north of Damascus, the time is bearing down when all of the stops to defendig Israel in Syrian territory will include the Turkish incursions (as they hav already demonstrated) and NATO membership will mean even less to Turkiye than it does now. The Russian presence in Syria has already caused some ruffled Russian feathers and even as that presence is shifting while parts of the Ukraine is being prepped for the later movements southwest (control of the Black Sea and Mediterranean access)Turkish perceptions of the area they desire to minimally control will be affected. Finland or Sweden do not present a threat to Turkiye, but that influence in NATO may be persuasive in causing the thought that Erdoğan still wants to maintain friendly relations until they can't. Russian control in Syria will decide that.

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