Great Plan - Trump is like Kissinger

Submitted by Robert (United States), Jan 30, 2020 at 12:30

Dear Daniel Pipes,

... As far as I'm concerned, Trump sees this as a basic Real-Estate deal - and its brilliant!

(1) You seem to not see that the plan isn't "American." Son-In-Law (Modern) Orthodox Kushner, with his other Orthodox Jewish American colleagues (Trump's Jewish Real Estate lawyers, for example), drafted the Plan first of all with the input of Israel (Netanyahu, an other Right Wingers of Israel). It only does not conform to the most extreme right, like Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked who want 100% annexation.

(2) Regarding "Hope" for the Palestinians. I think you underestimate Trump and his administration. They are aware of the observation of Abba Eban the "Palestinians never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity." It's not "hope" that given, its an "option" and "conditions" for a Palestinian State - which the will not accept (99%?). Therefore Israel will be "victorious."

You advocate "victory" for Israel - but you never proposed the Strategy or Tactics. On the other hand, under Trump we can observe a systematic unfolding of events all forcible to Israel. I think you are overlooking the implicit tactics that will be available to Israel if Hamas and PA/PLO (Abbas) continue their Rejectionism.

You also seem to give no weight to the positive consequences of Russia under Putin in Syria and his arrive in Israel under the President's invitation for the Holocaust celebration. And Putin sees the 1,000,000 Russian speaking Israelis in Israel as "part of Russia."

You don't seem to give sufficient weight to Egyptian SISI's and his role in Gaza; and it is Iran which has most vehemently rejected this Plan (just today).

The Plan presents a proposal for a Palestinian State which the Sunni Arabs (Egyptians, Saudis and the Gulf states) proposed as a condition for diplomatic relations (recognition) with Israel. That means that Israel satisfies the terms of the Sunni Arabs but the Palestinians under Iranian support will reject it.

In brief, the mistake you are making in your analysis is failing to analyze the consequences of Palestinian Rejectionism that's implicitly clearly built into the Plan. I hypothesize that Abbas will not even propose an alternative. In fact even the Iranians have just announced an alternative - a Referendum in which all the non -Jews vote, as well as the Jews who lived in Palestine before 1948.

In summary, I think one needs to do 2 things to analyze Israel's way to "victory" that's built into the Plan: (1) consider it from outside Israel/Palestine - everything that's happening OUTSIDE under this plan. And (2) what are the options which will lead Israel to choose under the assumption that the Palestinians will simply Reject this PEACE TO PROSPERITY. And here a bit of Marxism might help. The proposed road to Prosperity may turn Palestinian Workers into the Middle Class, thereby giving their Bourgeoisie something to loose (Property); consider the Millions of Palestinian Refugees dreaming and hoping to Return to Israel. Now they are being given a 50 Billion Dollar alternative either to stay put (in Jordan, Syria, Lebanon) or to return to Palestine but not Israel.

So, in the fast moving Real World, Trump's move, as embodied in his "Deal of the Century" as developed by his Molder Orthodox Jewish Son-in-Law - as well as Am. David M. Friedman (also Orthodox, and a Settler), is absolutely BRILLIANT. Incidentally - no one will be (or need be) forcibly moved out. So therefore, there will be Palestinian Citizens living in Soverign Israel, and Israelis living in Soverign Palestine: no "Jew-free Palestinian State.

I think one needs to view the Plan as Realistic - so assume that the Palestinian "authorities" simply reject it. You Analysis is faulty because it "assumes" what will happen if the Palestinians say "yes." What makes the Plan a stroke of Genius is that it embodies the consequences o0f rejection by the Palestinians and doesn't depend on being accepted by the "enemy." It is exactly what you theoretically propose - act as the Victor in War!

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