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The Middle East Requires Optimism be Contrasted with Realism-The Practicality of Why Islam Cannot Relent is Still Obscured.Reader comment on item: My Optimism about the New Arab Revolt Submitted by M. Tovey (United States), Mar 2, 2011 at 18:12 There may be, indeed, certain optimism about the transforming changes in the various collapsed Muslimesque regimes that are under the scrutiny of world opinion and sometimes acerbic commentary; but what does the discernment of pragmatic minds reveal may be the underlying and root cause of the dissent that brought about the newsworthy video feeds for world consumption? What are the real issues that have escaped the general coverage and were only peripherally mentioned while the big news of other governments lending favor or castigation of the errant autocrats garner the attention of prime time media? While holding a high regard for Dr. Pipes' observations, from this reader's dissenting perspective there is suggestive evidence that the underlying circumstances not being sorted out for public scrutiny give indications that history is being prepped for the writing of the next chapter after the scenario of these latest changes is played out. The idea that the differences between the Saudi/Wahabbists' Islam and the Iranian version are locked in some form of identity control of what Islam should be like is going to be resolved in some collaborative fashion needs quite a bit of dialogue and deliberation (if not outright altercation) to get to the point that some relief in the Middle East situation is in the offing. In simple terms, the ideological disparity of the Iranian Islamic revolution and the established Saudi camp is not going to be solved by anything other than capitulation of one to the other. In that vein, it may very well be that the al-Madhi does need to show himself at some time in the future and the nonconforming Muslims will be compelled to tow the line. Moderate Islam and moderate Muslims will no longer be tolerated, for shari'a law, whether Sunni or Shi'a, will be the law of the land. Given the necessity of that for Islam to be unified to be the most effective, getting to that does not bode well for the circumstances of the Middle East searching for peace; and not being able to obtain it while defining the affiliations of whose imam a Muslim must follow are still in the works. But to the extremist, this does not need working out, at least if the result is one an Islamist anarchist is required to conform to something he has sworn to die trying to destroy. Thus we see how Egypt and Jordan have both consented to maintain a relatively peaceful border relationship with Israel, while within their respective regimes there are those resolved to dissolve that peace in the continuing effort to destroy Israel. Syria and Turkey are both relatively quiet by comparison from internal dissidence from the reason that they are now being controlled by a government friendly and collaborative with the Islamist fundamentalist operatives working towards the overthrow of Israel. Syria, through its agency of Lebanon and its intention to regain the Golan, has allowed extremists the freedom to harass Israel and keep the borders there on edge. Hamas, the quasi-government for the 'Palestinian' Authority has kept its activities high against Israel, waiting and biding the time for a perceived redress of their complaints about why Israel seems able to be defiant about not surrendering as they wish, even as Iran waits for its chance to pull the necessary strings to put Israel over the edge. Turkey waits in the north. It will take more than a tune from some celebrity to lull the Middle East into a peaceful accord that will allow the rest of the world a rest from the rancor that always captures the news. In fact, peace will be elusive to the very end of the patience of the extremists and their government sponsors as they wait for their next opportunity to cause yet more dissent and turmoil. They keep pushing the boundary to see what will be the key turning point in promoting their agenda. Let's see; what's it going to take?
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All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2024 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes (The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code. Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998. For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.) |