A short war for diversion

Submitted by Michael Greengard (Israel), Jul 4, 2013 at 04:15

It seems to me that if Egypt's military rulers go looking for a short war for purposes of diversion, they are far more likely to choose Ethiopia, because they have a ready made reason (the Ethiopian dam on the Nile), and because they are a lot more likely to succeed. Not only is Ethiopia militarily inexperienced and weak, it is an ethnically and religiously divided country - they might not put up much of a fight.

They have always been identified as a Christian country, too - another incentive (although possibly not as strong as with a Morsi-led government). My money is on a war against Ethiopia.

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